51cg

Dr James Johnson

In this section
Dr James Johnson
Dr James Johnson
Dr James Johnson

Senior Lecturer

51cg
Email Address
james.johnson@abdn.ac.uk
Office Address

Room G23, Edward Wright Building

School/Department
School of Social Science




Biography

James (Jim) Johnson is Senior Lecturer and Director of Strategic Studies at the 51cg and a at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. He is the founding Director of the Strategic Studies Network (SSN). He is also an Honorary Fellow at the University of Leicester, a Non-Resident Research Associate on the European Research Council-funded Towards a Third Nuclear Age Project, and a Mid-Career Cadre with the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Project on Nuclear Issues. He advises the US Department of Defense, NATO’s Nuclear Planning Group, the UK Ministry of Defence, and the Global Commission on Responsible AI in the Military Domain (REAIM) on issues related to AI, nuclear strategy, and emerging technologies. Previously, he served as Assistant Professor at Dublin City University, a Non-Resident Fellow with the Modern War Institute at West Point, and a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies in Monterey, California.

Jim’s research examines the intersection of nuclear weapons, artificial intelligence, political psychology, and strategic affairs, with a particular focus on deterrence, crisis decision-making, and the future of warfare. His work has been published in International Affairs, Review of International Studies, The Journal of Strategic Studies, The Washington Quarterly, The European Journal of International Security, The Pacific Review, The War on the Rocks, and other outlets. He is the author of (OUP, 2024), (OUP, 2023), (MUP, 2021), and (Palgrave Macmillan, 2018). His forthcoming book, Machines at the Brink, examines how AI-enabled decision-support systems are reshaping nuclear deterrence, escalation, and decision-making during international crises.

Memberships and Affiliations

Internal Memberships
  • Director of Strategic Studies
  • Social Sciences PG Committee, Member
  • Social Sciences Research Committee, Member
  • PIR PG Staff Student Liaison Committee, Member
  • PIR PG Exam Board Committee, Member
  • Personal Tutor
External Memberships
  • Visiting Scholar, Harvard Kennedy School, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
  • Honorary Visiting Fellow, University of Leicester
  • Non-Resident Associate, "The Towards a Third Nuclear Age: Strategic Conventional Weapons and the Next Revolution in the Global Nuclear Order," European Research Council (ERC) funded project
  • Mid-Career Cadre, Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS), Project on Nuclear Issues
  • Non-Resident Expert, US Department of Defense (DoD) Office of the Joint Staff’s Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) program
  • Expert Advisory Group Member, the Global Commission on Responsible AI in the Military Domain (REAIM), Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Security Policy Department
  • British International Studies Association, Member 
  • International Studies Association­, Member 

Latest Publications

  • Foxes and Hedgehogs in Human-Machine Nuclear Decision-Making: Cognitive Styles and the Socio-Technical Dynamics of Nuclear Deterrence

    Johnson, J.
    Defence Studies
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
  • GenAI and Synthetic Foresight at the Brink: The Future of Nuclear Crisis Decision-Making

    Johnson, J.
    European Journal of International Security
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
  • Can AI behave ethically during military crises? Preserving human moral agency

    Johnson, J.
    International Affairs, vol. 102, no. 1, pp. 63-83
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
  • Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Stability: Understanding AI’s Impact on Military Escalation Dynamics and Strategic Deterrence

    Johnson, J.
    The Hague: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. 10 pages
    Books and Reports: Commissioned Reports
  • Revisiting the “Stability-Instability Paradox” in AI-enabled Warfare: A modern-day Promethean tragedy under the nuclear shadow?

    Johnson, J.
    Review of International Studies, pp. 1-19
    Contributions to Journals: Articles

View My Publications

Research

Research Overview

  • Strategic affairs 
  • Artificial intelligence & future warfare
  • Political psychology
  • Nuclear weapons policy & non-proliferation 

 

Current Research

Project: AI and the Future of Nuclear Stability & Crisis Decision-Making

This project addresses a critical yet underexplored threat to nuclear stability: the integration of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled decision-support systems into nuclear command-and-control architectures and their deployment in high-stakes strategic environments. Nuclear-armed states are increasingly exploring AI tools to simulate crises, forecast adversary behavior, analyze intelligence, and support national security decision-making. While these systems promise enhanced foresight and accelerated decision processes, they also introduce novel cognitive, ethical, and institutional risks. In particular, AI-enabled decision-support systems—including emerging generative AI applications—may distort perception, generate misleading signals, and heighten the risk of miscalculation or inadvertent escalation during nuclear crises. This project seeks to diagnose these risks, develop anticipatory mitigation strategies, and inform governance frameworks before AI-enabled decision-support systems become deeply embedded in strategic decision-making.

Funding: This project is supported by Longview Philanthropy.

Teaching

Teaching Responsibilities

  • Director of Strategic Studies
  • Director & Founder of the Strategic Studies Wargaming Club
  • Director & Founder of the Strategic Studies Network (SSN)
Publications

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  • Nuclear Brinkmanship in AI-Enabled Warfare: A Dangerous Algorithmic Game of Chicken

    Johnson, J.
    War on the Rocks
    Contributions to Specialist Publications: Articles
  • Understanding the Humanitarian Consequences and Risks of Nuclear Weapons: New findings from recent scholarship

    Johnson, J., Ritchie, N., Kupriyanov, M.
    Vienna: Federal Ministry for European and International Affairs Department for Disarmament. 116 pages
    Books and Reports: Commissioned Reports
  • The Challenges of AI Command and Control

    Johnson, J.
    European Leadership Network
    Contributions to Specialist Publications: Articles
  • AI and the Bomb: Nuclear strategy and risk in the digital age

    Johnson, J.
    Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. 288 pages
    Books and Reports: Books
  • The AI Commander Problem: Ethical, Political, and Psychological Dilemmas of Human-Machine Interactions in AI-enabled Warfare

    Johnson, J.
    Journal of Military Ethics , vol. 23, no. 3-4, pp. 246-271
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
  • The US, Indo-Pacific, AI and Emerging Security Technologies

    Johnson, J.
    Routledge Handbook of US policy in the Indo-Pacific. Turner, O., Aslam, W., Nymalm, N. (eds.). Routledge
    Chapters in Books, Reports and Conference Proceedings: Chapters
  • Inadvertent Escalation in the Age of Intelligence Machines: A new model for nuclear risk in the digital age

    Johnson, J.
    European Journal of International Security , vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 337-359
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
  • AI, Autonomy, and the Risk of Nuclear War

    Johnson, J.
    War on the Rocks
    Contributions to Specialist Publications: Articles
  • Automating the OODA Loop in the Age of AI

    Johnson, J.
    Center for Strategic and International Studies
    Contributions to Specialist Publications: Articles
  • Counterfactual Thinking & Nuclear Risk in the Digital Age: The Role of Uncertainty, Complexity, Chance, and Human Psychology

    Johnson, J.
    Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 394-421
    Contributions to Journals: Articles
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